Emerson College poll shows Republican Hinson leading Democrat Turek by three points in Iowa Senate race

An Emerson College poll of 712 likely Iowa voters indicates Republican Ashley Hinson leads Democrat Josh Turek by three points, scoring 48% to 45% with a 3.7-point margin of error; the remaining 7% either favor other contenders or are undecided. The race is to fill the seat of retiring Senator Joni Ernst, who has publicly supported Hinson. President Donald Trump has been supporting Hinson’s campaign, whereas former President Barack Obama endorsed Turek following his primary victory.

Name-recognition data shows 44% of respondents view Hinson favorably compared with 42% for Turek, though a larger share expresses an unfavorable opinion of Hinson. The poll also notes that Democratic State Auditor Rob Sand leads Republican Zach Lahn in the governor’s race, while Governor Kim Reynolds remains neutral.