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Poll shows Olivia Chow ahead as newcomer Chris Alexander draws modest support

A recent Liaison Strategies poll finds incumbent Olivia Chow leading the Toronto mayoral race, while former cabinet minister Chris Alexander has entered with about 10% backing.

Liaison Strategies’ first poll since Chris Alexander joined the mayoral contest shows incumbent Olivia Chow maintaining a lead, with 47% support among decided and leaning voters, seven points ahead of Brad Bradford’s 40%. Among the broader electorate, Chow holds 38% support, Bradford 32%, and Alexander 8%, while 20% remain undecided. Alexander, a former federal cabinet minister and ex-ambassador to Afghanistan, is largely unknown to voters, with 61% indicating no familiarity.

His entry appears to erode the centre-right vote that previously favored Bradford, whose favourable rating has slipped slightly. The poll also reveals that half of Torontonians approve of Chow’s performance as mayor, and a majority (81%) favor a greater police and security presence at large street festivals despite higher costs. Overall, the data suggest a still-open race, with Alexander’s impact uncertain and Bradford facing a tighter contest for anti-Chow voters.

Why it matters

The poll indicates shifting dynamics in Toronto’s mayoral race, affecting how candidates position themselves.

In this story

Toronto mayoral racepollOlivia ChowChris AlexanderBrad Bradfordmunicipal electionvoter familiaritypublic safetypolice presence