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AfD adopts Trump-style anti-mail voting rhetoric ahead of historic German state election

AfD leaders have echoed Trump’s unfounded claims about mail-in ballot fraud as Germany heads toward a state election that could bring the far-right to power.

Ahead of a state election that may allow the far-right to govern for the first time since World War II, AfD figures Tino Chrupalla and Leif-Erik Holm have claimed, without proof, that postal ballots—particularly those from nursing-home residents—are being tampered with. Election officials and caregiver groups have dismissed the allegations. The party’s messaging draws heavily on Donald Trump’s long-standing narrative that mail voting is prone to fraud, even though German politicians deliberately avoid invoking Trump by name due to his low popularity.

Political scientists say the “rigged election” myth helps forge a shared identity among European radical right parties. If the AfD secures a majority or coalition in Saxony-Anhalt, it could serve as a springboard for national influence, where it already polls around 29 percent. Experts note parallels with other European right-wing movements but stress that Germany’s historical context makes this development especially consequential.

Why it matters

An AfD win would break Germany's post-war rule against far-right rule, reshaping European politics.

How this story developed

  1. Aug 23 Merz warns AfD win in Saxony-Anhalt could scare off foreign investors
  2. Aug 31 A fact‑checking report found Merz’s asylum and debt figures were inaccurate.
  3. Aug 31 Chancellor warned that an AfD win could deter foreign investors.
  4. Sep 1 Ulrich Siegmund, a former perfume seller who left the CDU, has been identified as the AfD’s lead candidate in Saxony‑Anhalt.
  5. Sep 2 A new TV4 poll shows Sweden's governing right-wing coalition almost equal to the centre-left bloc with 11 days left before the Sept. 13 parliamentary vote.
  6. Sep 2 SPD polling in Saxony‑Anhalt falls to about 7‑8%.
  7. Sep 3 The state parliament passed emergency legislation that raises the thresholds for selecting the minister‑president and appointing judges, limiting the AfD’s ability to govern even if it wins the plurality.
  8. Sep 4 Election held on Sunday, with results set to decide if the AfD can dominate the Landtag and trigger legal challenges.
  9. Sep 5 The latest Novus poll shows the opposition lead narrowed to 2.6 points.

In this story

far-rightmail-in votingTrumpismAfDGerman state electionvoter fraud claims
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