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AI-driven technique boosts accuracy of two-to-six-week weather forecasts

An international research team unveiled an AI post-processing method that improves weather forecasts, especially the notoriously hard 2- to 6-week period.

The scientists detailed a machine-learning system in Nature that refines existing forecasts across all timescales. By intelligently correcting model output, it outperforms traditional approaches for both short-term and extended forecasts. The biggest gain is seen in the 2- to 6-week window, previously called the predictability desert, where climatological averages were the best guess.

Why it matters

More reliable 2- to 6-week forecasts help agriculture, disaster preparedness and energy planning.

In this story

AIweather forecastingpredictability desertmedium-range forecastsmachine learningNature studymeteorologyclimatological averages
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