AUR outpaces Romania's two biggest traditional parties in latest poll
The survey, conducted between September 1 and 7, indicates that AUR would win a plurality if elections were held today, surpassing the joint backing of PSD and PNL. Smaller parties such as USR, RMDSZ and the green-oriented SENS fall well below the 5 percent threshold. Among respondents who say they will definitely vote, AUR’s lead widens further.
In a poll carried out by Inscop from September 1 to 7, the far-right Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) emerged as the most popular party, outpacing the combined support for the Social Democratic Party (PSD) and the centre-right National Liberal Party (PNL). The poll also recorded modest backing for centrist USR, the Hungarian minority party RMDSZ and the green-focused SENS, all hovering around single-digit percentages.
Two newer right-wing splinter groups, SOS Romania and the Youth Party, each attracted only a small share. When asked about guaranteed turnout, AUR’s advantage grew, with a clear majority of certain voters favoring the party over PSD and PNL. The poll’s director highlighted that traditional coalition parties have stalled below the 20 percent mark amid a prolonged government crisis.
How this story developed
- Sep 7 Merz warns AfD surge in Saxony-Anhalt could reshape Germany’s politics
- Sep 7 AfD announced it will begin talks with potential partners after falling short of a majority.
- Sep 8 Günter Krings, a member of the German Bundestag, described the recent Saxony-Anhalt vote as far worse than expected, with the AfD securing 43.8% of the ballots. He argued the CDU should not entertain discussions about replacing Chancellor Friedrich Merz so soon after the far-right's victory. Krings urged the party to focus on rebuilding its credibility and blamed EU decisions for part of voter anger. The CDU’s share fell to 17.2%, roughly half of its previous support.
- Sep 8 CDU leaders proposed a working group to study a possible ban of the AfD.
- Sep 10 A new Insa poll shows the CDU sliding sharply in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, while the SPD narrows the gap with the AfD and smaller parties risk missing the threshold.
- Sep 10 Claudia Obert resigned from the CDU and Tino Schomann publicly demanded Merz’s resignation.
- Sep 11 A new poll confirms the AfD’s continued lead while the CDU’s support keeps slipping.
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