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Bleak outlook for Russia if Putin's grip on power crumbles

A new report warns that a collapse of Putin’s authority could trigger civil war, hidden illness, and the spread of mass-destruction weapons, prompting Finland to prepare for worst-case scenarios.

The analysis outlines several extreme outcomes should Vladimir Putin lose control, including internal armed conflict and the concealment of his health issues. It also warns that nuclear or other weapons could fall into unsafe hands. Finland is urged to ready its defence and emergency plans for these unpredictable developments. The report raises questions about whether China would support Russia or if security agencies might seize power. These “wild-card” scenarios are presented as low-probability but high-impact risks.

Why it matters

Understanding these extreme risks helps neighboring countries plan defence and diplomatic strategies.

In this story

RussiaPutincivil warweapon proliferationFinland preparednessChinasecurity servicespower collapsewild-card scenarios
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