Carville predicts Trump will quit politics and forecasts Democratic Senate gains

James Carville described the dynamic between Donald Trump and voters as an “awful marriage” that is likely to dissolve before the two-year term expires, predicting Trump will step away from politics if Republicans keep the House and Senate. He characterized the situation as a mutual fatigue, quoting a historic civil-rights slogan to illustrate the public’s exhaustion. Carville also expressed optimism for Democratic Senate prospects, noting Mary Peltola’s lead over incumbent Dan Sullivan in Alaska’s open primary and her independence from Kamala Harris’s fundraising overtures.

He pointed out that Alaska’s ranked-choice system could favor Peltola despite Republican spending. In South Carolina, Carville suggested that Democratic nominee Dr. Annie Andrews might have a chance if her opponent is Darline Graham, the sister of the late Sen. Lindsey Graham, despite a poor debate performance. The commentary reflects Carville’s long-standing criticism of Trump and his view that the president’s political relevance is waning.