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CDU slips in Niedersachsen poll, trailing SPD and closing on AfD

A new Insa poll shows the CDU falling behind the SPD and nearly matching the AfD in Niedersachsen ahead of local elections.

In a recent Insa poll ordered by one outlet, the CDU’s support in Niedersachsen dropped noticeably, leaving it behind the SPD and almost level with the AfD as local elections approach. The SPD modestly improved its standing, while the AfD recorded a slight rise, narrowing the gap with the Christian Democrats. The Greens achieved the strongest growth among parties, whereas the FDP edged up and the Linke slipped further.

Smaller parties such as BSW and other minor groups stayed at low levels. The results imply that the incumbent SPD-Green coalition could lose its majority, and traditional coalition formulas appear difficult, prompting speculation about new alliance possibilities.

Why it matters

The poll reshapes expectations for upcoming local elections and could alter coalition dynamics in Niedersachsen.

How this story developed

  1. Sep 7 Merz warns AfD surge in Saxony-Anhalt could reshape Germany’s politics
  2. Sep 7 AfD announced it will begin talks with potential partners after falling short of a majority.
  3. Sep 8 CDU leaders proposed a working group to study a possible ban of the AfD.
  4. Sep 10 A new Insa poll shows the CDU sliding sharply in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, while the SPD narrows the gap with the AfD and smaller parties risk missing the threshold.
  5. Sep 11 A new poll confirms the AfD’s continued lead while the CDU’s support keeps slipping.

In this story

CDU declineNiedersachsen pollAfD surgeSPD leadcoalition prospectsGreens gain
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