Ceuta migrant influx tests Sánchez’s government amid accusations of Moroccan collusion

At the end of July, over 70,000 migrants streamed from Morocco into the Spanish enclave of Ceuta, a surge that resulted in multiple fatalities and left thousands awaiting processing. Authorities are tasked with identifying those eligible for asylum and providing special protection for unaccompanied children, but critics say the Sánchez government was slow to deploy emergency resources. Declassified intelligence reveals the National Intelligence Centre recorded calls for mass entries on social media but claimed it could not predict the magnitude, fueling opposition accusations of ignored warnings.

Morocco denies any role, yet a poll shows most Spaniards suspect its involvement, and Spain’s top criminal court has launched an inquiry into alleged facilitation by Moroccan security forces. The far-right Vox party has framed the event as an "invasion," gaining poll traction, while surveys indicate a majority view Sánchez’s response as very bad or bad. Analysts warn the crisis could significantly damage Sánchez’s government if it drags on, though some note Spain’s strong economy may offer political resilience.