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CROSS-SPECTRUMBROAD COVERAGE

Conservative support for Trump dips modestly in latest Marquette poll

A Marquette Law School poll shows Trump’s approval among very conservative Americans fell from 84% in July to 76% in September, raising questions about base enthusiasm ahead of the midterms.

According to a Marquette Law School poll conducted in early September, Trump’s approval rating among very conservative respondents slipped from 84% in July to 76% in September, with disapproval increasing from 16% to 24%. Experts attribute the movement to factors such as the Iran war and rising financial pressure on households, while also noting weak scores on inflation, the economy and gasoline prices. The Republican National Committee rejected the notion of a collapsing conservative base, emphasizing that voting likelihood rose among the subgroup.

Nonetheless, overall enthusiasm for voting among very conservatives showed a modest decline, even as certainty about voting increased. The poll’s methodology involved about 110 respondents in the conservative subgroup, giving the results a larger margin of error than the full sample. Analysts caution that the trend, if persistent, could affect turnout more than party switching in upcoming midterm contests.

Why it matters

Shifts in approval among Trump’s core supporters could influence Republican turnout in tight midterm races.

In this story

Trump approvalvery conservative votersmidterm electioninflation concernsIran warvoter enthusiasmMarquette poll
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