Democrats' congressional lead shrinks to 5 points, far below 2018 advantage
A new poll shows Democrats ahead of Republicans 50%-45% on who should control Congress, a much tighter gap than the 12-point lead they held at the same stage in 2018.
A poll of 1,000 registered voters taken between Sept. 11 and 15 indicates Democrats leading Republicans 50% to 45% on which party should run Congress, a lead that sits within the survey’s 3.1-point margin of error but is far smaller than the 12-point advantage recorded at the same point in the 2018 election cycle. One outlet generic congressional ballot aggregate still reflects an 8.1-point Democratic edge. The poll highlights that only 29% of respondents view Democrats positively versus 50% negative, while Republicans enjoy a 36% positive rating.
Support for the Democratic Socialists of America remains low, with just 22% favorable, and many voters say they would be less likely to back candidates endorsing its policies. Trump’s approval sits at 41%, and a majority say his policies have worsened the economy. Analysts point to post-census redistricting as a factor that could prevent the massive House swing Democrats achieved in 2018.
Why it matters
The narrowing Democratic lead signals a more competitive midterm race that could shape future congressional control and policy direction.
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