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EU intelligence says no evidence Russia is planning NATO attack

A senior EU official said European intelligence sees no sign that Russia is preparing a military strike on NATO members.

European intelligence services have concluded there is no evidence of a Russian preparation for a military assault on NATO members, according to a senior EU official speaking on condition of anonymity. The statement came after U.S. outlets reported that CIA Director John Ratcliffe, during a trip to Moscow, urged Russia not to strike the alliance, and that one outlet suggested a possible limited test of NATO could be contemplated in coming years.

The EU official emphasized that the assessment of no imminent attack has not changed, but acknowledged ongoing Russian efforts to cause trouble for European states through hybrid warfare, cyber incidents, drone incursions and disinformation. The official reiterated the EU’s continued support for Ukraine since the 2022 invasion and warned that such non-conventional attacks are likely to persist. The Kremlin, on the same day, dismissed the speculation about a planned attack as scare stories.

Why it matters

Understanding the threat level helps European citizens and policymakers gauge security risks and allocate resources appropriately.

How this story developed

  1. Aug 25 CIA Director John Ratcliffe makes surprise visit to Moscow amid strained US-Russia ties
  2. Aug 25 Washington warned allies to sever business ties with Iran under threat of secondary sanctions.
  3. Aug 26 John Ratcliffe was identified as being on the C‑17 that landed in Moscow.
  4. Aug 26 Kremlin spokesman said Putin had been informed of Ratcliffe's discussions with Russian security services.
  5. Aug 26 Donald Trump described CIA director John Ratcliffe's recent trip to Moscow as a “semi-routine” mission, suggesting it focused on the Ukraine conflict.
  6. Aug 27 Russia’s foreign intelligence chief publicly confirmed the meeting with the CIA director.
  7. Aug 27 Russia labeled U.S. reports of a NATO warning as “scare stories.”

In this story

RussiaNATOEU intelligencehybrid warfareJohn Ratcliffemilitary attackEuropean security
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