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Exit polls show Łukasz Gibała winning Kraków race over Monika Piątkowska

Exit polls conducted by IPSOS and OGB indicate that independent Łukasz Gibała defeated Civic Coalition candidate Monika Piątkowska in the Kraków election.

Two independent exit polls, one by IPSOS and another by OGB, show a decisive victory for Łukasz Gibała, an unaffiliated candidate linked to the Kraków for Residents committee, who captured 61% of votes in the IPSOS survey and 64.1% in the OGB poll. His main opponent, Monika Piątkowska of the Civic Coalition and PSL, obtained 39% and 35.9% in the respective surveys. Turnout was reported at 42.6% by OGB and 44.7% by IPSOS.

The data reveal that 94.1% of respondents identifying as right-wing voted for Gibała, while 57.8% of left-wing respondents chose Piątkowska, who also led among centrists with 53.4%. Party-specific support showed Gibała favored by supporters of Konfederacja, Prawo i Sprawiedliwość and Independent Local Government candidates, whereas Piątkowska drew most votes from Civic Coalition, New Left and the Third Way alliance. Additionally, former presidential candidates Karol Nawrocki and Rafał Trzaskowski’s supporters largely aligned with Gibała and Piątkowska respectively.

Why it matters

The results reveal shifting voter alignments in Kraków, highlighting the strength of independent candidates against established parties.

In this story

Łukasz GibałaMonika PiątkowskaKraków electionexit pollIPSOSOGBright-wing votersleft-wing votersturnout
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