FDD warns Iran may stage surprise attacks on U.S. and allies

Dubowitz’s podcast, The Iran Breakdown, highlights the regime’s deteriorating economy and internal division between civilian voices calling for an end to war and a hard-line Revolutionary Guard junta that refuses to concede.

He points to the recent U.S. operation that destroyed a key nuclear facility as a catalyst for possible retaliatory “October surprise” strikes. The think-tank notes that Iran’s proxy network—including Hezbollah, Hamas, the Houthis and Iraqi militias—has long pressured the U.S. and Israel, and a desperate regime may turn to kamikaze-style attacks. Ayatollah Hassan Khomeini’s recent appeal to the Guard to negotiate with Washington underscores the internal conflict. Dubowitz urges American officials and the public to stay vigilant as the regime appears to be in its final, volatile phase.