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Federal Health Subsidies Swallow One-Third of the Budget and Lower Patient Satisfaction

A new analysis shows federal health programs now consume almost a third of U.S. spending, while public satisfaction with the system declines.

According to recent tax-policy research, federal health expenditures—including Medicare, Medicaid, ACA subsidies and CHIP—now represent nearly one-third of total government outlays, exceeding the defense budget. The fiscal cost of these programs reached roughly $2.7 trillion, or 8.9% of GDP, as of 2025. Public opinion surveys reveal a historic 23% of respondents describing the health system as in crisis, with cost identified as the primary grievance.

Analysts from the Cato Institute contend that the subsidies inflate prices, reduce private-sector quality, and impose taxes that hinder economic growth, while studies show mixed or negative health outcomes for Medicaid recipients. They recommend market-based reforms to increase competition and curb the spending spiral.

Why it matters

Federal health spending now dominates the budget, influencing taxes, prices and the overall quality of care for Americans.

In this story

federal health spendingMedicareMedicaidACA subsidiesbudget deficitpatient satisfactionhealth care costsmarket reforms
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