Federal policy shifts could add up to $9,000 to household energy bills by 2040

Energy Innovation’s new model predicts that U.S. households will collectively spend about $6,500 more on energy by 2040 because of federal policy shifts since Donald Trump returned to office, including the cancellation of new clean-energy projects and the weakening of fuel-economy rules. The analysis expects higher natural-gas use for electricity generation and greater gasoline consumption, driving up prices across the contiguous United States.

Five states—Oregon, Mississippi, South Dakota, Virginia and Wyoming—are projected to face the biggest per-household increases, with Oregon’s cumulative rise reaching roughly $9,300. The think tank also warns of job losses in most states, 37,000 extra premature deaths from air pollution, $72 billion in added health costs and over 9 billion tons of extra carbon emissions. Critics from the White House dispute the nonpartisan label of Energy Innovation, while Republican-led states cite lower rate increases where wind and solar are prevalent. Oregon utility advocates fear rising bills could force more disconnections, urging a federal-state partnership to expand renewable resources.