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Ford’s PCs keep two seats as NDP holds Scarborough in Ontario byelections

Three Ontario by-elections produced no change in party balance, with the Progressive Conservatives retaining York-Simcoe and Hamilton East-Stoney Creek and the NDP keeping Scarborough Southwest.

Thursday’s Ontario byelections left the legislative composition unchanged. In York-Simcoe, PC hopeful Susan Lahey was ahead of Liberal Naomi Davison by more than a dozen percentage points, while the NDP lagged below five percent. Hamilton East-Stoney Creek saw Hamilton councillor Jeff Beattie maintain a seven-point lead over former MPP Monique Taylor, with Liberal Heino Doessing far behind.

The NDP’s Fatima Shaban secured Scarborough Southwest with a comfortable ten-point margin against Liberal franchise owner Ahsanul Hafiz. Premier Doug Ford, whose popularity has risen after a public spat with U.S. President Donald Trump over tariffs, retained his party’s two seats, preserving his comfortable majority at Queen’s Park. The outcomes mirror a recent federal Liberal sweep and underscore the provincial government’s focus on trade-war messaging.

Why it matters

The results confirm the governing PCs’ hold on key ridings and signal voter response to Ford’s trade-war stance.

In this story

ontario byelectionsprogressive conservativesndpdoug fordtrade disputedonald trumplake ontario signscarborough southwesthamilton east-stoney creek
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