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Former GOP strategist warns Trump approval could plunge further ahead of midterms

Mike Madrid, a former California Republican Party director, told the Fast Politics podcast that President Donald Trump's approval ratings are at historic lows and may drop even more as the midterm elections approach.

On the latest Fast Politics show, former California Republican Party political director Mike Madrid warned that President Donald Trump's approval ratings have fallen to unprecedented levels for a modern incumbent. Citing recent polls, he said there is no clear historical analogue, whether comparing Trump to George W. Bush after Hurricane Katrina or to Richard Nixon before his resignation. Madrid highlighted the president's contentious trade war with Canada and the ongoing conflict with Iran as factors eroding support.

He explained that Republicans now rely on high-turnout elections, yet their base is described as less educated, less informed, and less motivated, while Democrats thrive in low-turnout midterms with a more college-educated coalition eager to oppose Trump. Finally, he pointed out that only about a quarter of respondents believe the country is heading in the right direction, underscoring a large gap between approval of the nation and approval of the president.

Why it matters

Trump's sinking approval could shape voter behavior and influence the outcome of the upcoming midterm elections.

In this story

Donald Trumpapproval ratingmidtermsRepublican PartyThe Lincoln Projecttrade warIran conflictvoter turnoutpolitical strategy
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