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Former Israeli security leaders warn of election sabotage through staged conflict

Retired Israeli security officials say political forces could provoke a security crisis to derail the upcoming election.

In a video circulated on social media, four veteran Israeli security figures - Ehud Barak, Moshe Ya’alon, Tamir Pardo and Moshe Karadi - warn that some political players may deliberately trigger a security escalation to interfere with the forthcoming election. Produced by the Forum of Protest Organizations, the footage claims that these actors possess both the incentive and the means to create a crisis, citing possible attacks by Jewish extremists in the West Bank and broader regional friction, including with Turkey.

Karadi describes the election as potentially the most dramatic since Israel’s founding and accuses West Bank militants of seeking a pretext to halt voting. Ya’alon and Barak echo concerns that such a maneuver would benefit certain campaigns. While no specific evidence of a plotted escalation is offered, the group has launched a website to gather similar warnings from other commentators. The officials stress the need for the state to be ready for any development that could delay or cancel the poll.

Why it matters

If true, a manufactured security crisis could undermine Israel's democratic process and regional stability.

How this story developed

  1. Sep 1 Israeli prime minister's wife faces libel claim over Oct. 7 accusations
  2. Sep 2 National Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir will present a seven-year, $20 bn scheme to move up to 1.86 million Palestinians out of Gaza, framing it as voluntary emigration.
  3. Sep 4 Ben Gvir outlined a first‑year target of 250,000 relocations and named potential host countries such as Turkey, Ethiopia, the Congo and Arab states.
  4. Sep 5 U.S. ambassador Mike Huckabee says Israel has no active program to forcibly remove Gaza residents.
  5. Sep 6 Eight Muslim and Arab foreign ministers issued a joint condemnation of Israel's relocation proposal.
  6. Sep 8 Netanyahu publicly alleged that officials deliberately kept him asleep on Oct. 7.
  7. Sep 8 Sara Netanyahu announced a libel lawsuit against Yair Golan over claims of his prior knowledge of the Oct. 7 attacks.
  8. Sep 9 Netanyahu faces mounting internal and international pressure ahead of the October Knesset election as the United Kingdom prepares sanctions on West Bank goods.
  9. Sep 11 Golan has filed a defamation lawsuit against Sara Netanyahu.
  10. Sep 14 Culture Minister Miki Zohar announced plans to revoke the Israeli citizenship of the directors of the documentary NAZA, calling the film treasonous.
  11. Sep 14 Miki Zohar has formally announced he will pursue revoking the directors' citizenship.

In this story

election disruptionsecurity escalationformer security chiefspolitical manipulationWest Bank extremistsTurkey tensionIsrael electionprotest groups
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