From 9/11 to Iran's Decline: A Two-Decade Geopolitical Reckoning

The writer describes how the September 2001 attacks sparked a protracted, asymmetrical conflict pitting liberal democracies against the most extreme strands of political Islam, including al Qaeda, ISIS and Iran’s regional network. He critiques the original “war on terror” framing as a strategic error that treated state and non-state foes alike. Citing casualty figures from al Qaeda and ISIS and estimates of Iranian repression, he outlines the massive human cost of the decades-long struggle.

Recent decisive blows against Hamas, Hezbollah, Iranian proxies and Iran’s nuclear program are portrayed as turning points that have diminished Tehran’s power. With Iran’s leadership weakened and its economy strained, the United States emerges as the prevailing regional actor, poised to reinforce alliances such as the Abraham Accords. The author concludes by urging a reassessment of post-9/11 security measures that treat ordinary citizens as potential threats.