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Global central banks tighten policy as oil shock fuels inflation worries

Major central banks across the G10 are moving toward higher rates, with the Fed adopting a more restrictive stance amid an oil price surge linked to Houthi actions in the Red Sea.

On September 17, central banks in the G10 group continued a collective tightening trajectory as the Federal Reserve moved to a more restrictive stance, prompting traders to price in additional hikes beyond the Fed’s own projections. Australia’s Reserve Bank has lifted rates three times to 4.35% and is likely to consider another increase after a strong July inflation reading. Norway’s Norges Bank held its 4.25% rate steady in August but may add a quarter-point hike before year-end, while the Bank of England left its 3.75% rate unchanged yet cautioned that ongoing Middle-East tensions could necessitate tighter policy.

The European Central Bank raised rates earlier this month and is expected to push them higher as energy prices climb. Similar tightening signals came from New Zealand, Canada, Sweden, Japan and Switzerland, each weighing domestic inflation against growth prospects amid the broader oil price shock caused by Houthi control of a Red Sea stretch.

Why it matters

Higher rates affect borrowing costs worldwide, influencing inflation, growth and financial markets.

How this story developed

  1. Sep 6 Treasury expands long-term debt buyback to $6 billion amid volatile markets
  2. Sep 9 The buyback size was increased from $4 billion to $6 billion.
  3. Sep 16 The Bank of England is expected to keep its policy rate at 3.75% on Thursday, but a sharp rise in gas and oil prices is prompting talk of a possible increase later this year.
  4. Sep 17 The Bank of England kept the Bank Rate at 3.75% after a 6‑3 vote.

In this story

central bank tighteninginterest rate hikesoil price shockinflationpolicy ratesmarket expectationsRed SeaG10monetary policy
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