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UNDERREPORTED

Global Seniors Surpass Children in Numbers for First Time, Census Shows

A new U.S. Census report finds that people aged 65 and older now outnumber children aged five and under worldwide for the first time in recorded history.

According to a recent U.S. Census analysis, the global population of seniors has overtaken that of young children for the first time ever. This shift reflects a combination of declining birth rates and increasing longevity across many countries. The study notes that in 2023, over 71% of people lived in regions where fertility rates are at or below the 2.1-birth replacement threshold, a sharp rise from a decade ago.

Projections indicate the 65-plus group will expand from 852 million in 2025 to 2 billion by 2060. During the same span, the world’s total population is expected to increase from 8.13 billion to 10.23 billion. These trends suggest a continuing demographic inversion that could reshape economies and social systems worldwide.

Why it matters

The aging majority will affect labor markets, healthcare demand, and economic growth globally.

In this story

older peopleyounger peopledemographic shiftfertility ratelongevityglobal populationover 65replacement level
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