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India's markets brace for GDP release and US jobs data amid global cues

Indian equities are set for a volatile week as the Q1 FY27 GDP figures and the US non-farm payrolls report are expected to shape market sentiment.

Analysts expect the Indian market to be heavily influenced by the Q1 FY27 GDP data scheduled for August 31, which should clarify the pace of domestic growth amid high energy prices and geopolitical tensions. Additional domestic indicators such as manufacturing and services PMI, GST receipts, foreign-exchange reserves and rupee movements will also be monitored, alongside auto sales and foreign portfolio inflows that amounted to Rs 30,919 crore in August.

On the global front, the US August non-farm payrolls report on September 4 is viewed as the most critical trigger, potentially shaping expectations for the Federal Reserve’s September rate decision, the US dollar, Treasury yields and capital flows to emerging markets. Commentators highlighted that US monetary policy has become the dominant global catalyst after hawkish remarks at Jackson Hole. The Sensex and Nifty closed lower last week, reflecting cautious sentiment ahead of these data releases. Market participants will assess how domestic growth prospects and US employment figures together influence the outlook for Indian equities.

Why it matters

The data releases could swing investor sentiment, affecting stock prices, currency values and capital flows in India and beyond.

In this story

India GDPUS jobs reportforeign portfolio investorsFed policystock marketrupeePMIauto sales
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