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India's sugar prices dip at factory gate but retail rates stay high

Ex-mill sugar prices have fallen about 20% after the government approved duty-free imports, yet retail costs remain near a 30% rise from a month ago.

Reduced sugarcane yields due to diseases and waterlogging have cut the 2025-26 production forecast to about 306 lakh metric tonnes, leaving a tighter supply cushion as households and businesses stock up for upcoming festivals. International sugar prices have risen over 16% in recent weeks, adding pressure on the domestic market. In response, the Centre authorized duty-free imports of 10 lakh tonnes of raw sugar and imposed stricter stock-holding limits, which led mills to lower ex-mill prices by nearly 20% to roughly Rs 55 per kilogram.

The National Federation of Cooperative Sugar Factories confirmed the new lower rates nationwide. However, wholesale prices sit around Rs 59-60 per kilo and retail rates hover near Rs 64 per kilo, still about 30% above a month earlier, because earlier higher-priced stock remains in the supply chain. The government is also moving to fortnightly quota allocations and faster dispatches to keep existing stocks moving, while expecting a stronger domestic crushing season from October onward.

Why it matters

Consumers face high sugar costs despite lower factory prices, affecting household budgets during the festive season.

In this story

sugar pricesex-mill ratesduty-free importsstock limitsfestive demandsugarcane diseasesglobal sugar marketwholesale priceretail price
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