Indonesia eyes 6% growth by 2027, betting on digital economy expansion

Indonesia posted 5.45% growth in the first half of 2026, laying the groundwork for a 6% expansion and 2.5% inflation by 2027, Coordinating Minister for Economic Affairs Airlangga Hartarto announced. To hit the goal, the country must boost investment by 8-9%, lift productivity and shift toward higher-value exports, with the digital sector playing a central role. Gross merchandise value reached almost US$100 billion in 2025, up 14% year-on-year, while QRIS now serves 65.77 million users and 44.86 million merchants.

Indonesia has finalized talks on the ASEAN Digital Economy Framework Agreement, slated for signing at the November summit in the Philippines, and BCG projects the pact could raise ASEAN’s digital economy to US$2 trillion by 2030. Bank Indonesia recorded a 38.08% rise in digital payment transactions in Q3 2025, and the government is preparing post-quantum cryptography safeguards. Data-center development is being supported, with NVIDIA discussing a US$4.5 billion investment in Batam’s Free Trade Zone, while e-commerce is expected to grow over 14% to US$71 billion, becoming Southeast Asia’s largest market.