Jimmy Gomez faces tight race against fellow Democrat Angela Gonzales-Torres in California

According to a recent poll conducted by Upswing Research and Strategy for Guardrails Alliance, Rep. Jimmy Gomez is statistically tied with fellow Democrat Angela Gonzales-Torres, with Gomez at 38% and Gonzales-Torres at 41%—a difference that falls inside the 4.9% margin of error. Both candidates secured spots in the general election through California’s top-two primary format. The survey suggests that knowledge of Gomez’s association with the pro-AI super PAC network Leading the Future could depress his support, with 63% of respondents favoring Gonzales-Torres when told of that link.

Guardrails Alliance is monitoring the contest closely, while progressive organizations like Justice Democrats have identified Gomez as a potential target. Gomez’s previous narrow victories and a recent ethics investigation into alleged sexual misconduct add further uncertainty to his re-election prospects.