Latest polls show a clear lead for the right over Sánchez's PSOE ahead of the election
A batch of recent surveys from six major pollsters indicates that the centre-left bloc led by Pedro Sánchez trails the right-wing parties by a sizable margin.
Recent electoral surveys from six leading demoscopic companies show a decisive advantage for the right-wing bloc over Pedro Sánchez's government. Except for minor methodological differences, the polls agree that the Partido Popular leads the PSOE by an average of 5.8 percentage points. When the Partido Popular is added to Vox, their joint vote share is expected to approach 51 percent, which would correspond to a seat range of 202-204 for each party in the lower house, with some forecasts reaching as high as 212 seats for the alliance.
The PSOE itself shows only modest fluctuations, with its best gain limited to three tenths of a point. Meanwhile, the left-wing coalition of Sumar and Podemos is showing signs of erosion due to internal splits and contested candidate lists. The overall picture suggests a shift toward a right-leaning parliamentary configuration and diminishes the likelihood of Sánchez retaining the premiership.
Why it matters
The poll results signal a likely change in Spain's governing coalition, affecting policy direction and political stability.
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