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UNDERREPORTED

Lula targets senior non-voters in bid to overturn Bolsonaro lead

President Lula, trailing Flávio Bolsonaro by 1.8 points, is racing to persuade optional-voting seniors to close the gap before the runoff.

President Lula da Silva trails Flávio Bolsonaro by 1.8 points after the first round, prompting a last-minute push to attract centrist and senior voters who can choose not to vote after age 70. With abstention among the over-70s close to 60%, Lula has urged this demographic to cast ballots, emphasizing their role for future generations and highlighting an 11-point advantage in a recent Datafolha poll. He addressed seniors in a Flow interview, calling them to overcome complacency.

The Workers’ Party, led by Edinho Silva, is gearing up for a direct showdown in the runoff, while Lula has also criticized Bolsonaro’s son for alleged criminal ties. The campaign now hinges on mobilizing the optional-voting elderly to turn a narrow deficit into a victory.

Why it matters

Mobilizing Brazil’s optional-voting seniors could determine the outcome of a tightly contested presidential runoff.

How this story developed

  1. Oct 4 Portugal sees alcohol dependence surge while Brazil heads to tightly contested election
  2. Oct 4 First round of voting produced no candidate with over 50%, making a runoff likely.
  3. Oct 5 First‑round results show Flávio Bolsonaro ahead with 47.1% and Lula at 45%, triggering a runoff on Oct 25.
  4. Oct 5 Senator Flavio Bolsonaro said the recent vote gave the right a dominant majority in Brazil's Senate and Chamber of Deputies.
  5. Oct 6 Flavio Bolsonaro secured a first‑round victory, making him the runoff frontrunner.

In this story

lulabolsonarobrazilian runoffelderly votersabstentioncampaign strategydatafolha pollptsenior turnout
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