Mass deportations could slash retirees' Social Security benefits by over $2,000 annually
A new report warns that continuing the Trump administration’s large-scale deportation program may cut average Social Security payouts for retirees by about $2,152 per year by 2034.
According to a report commissioned by America’s Voice, the continuation of the Trump administration’s mass deportation agenda could reduce average Social Security benefits for retirees by $2,152 a year, an 8.6% drop, by 2034. The projection relies on the loss of tax contributions from immigrants who comprise roughly 48% of agricultural and 32% of construction jobs. The study also notes that between January and September 2025, 668,000 jobs vanished, with between 51,000 and 297,000 of those held by U.S.-born workers.
Federal spending on the deportation effort is estimated at $269 billion through 2029, translating to about $2,358 per taxpayer. ICE’s budget now surpasses that of any other federal police agency, reflecting the administration’s prioritization of enforcement over Social Security solvency. The report warns that these fiscal pressures could push the program’s insolvency date earlier, compounding existing poverty risks for seniors.
Why it matters
Retirees could face significant benefit cuts if deportation policies reduce tax revenue and destabilize the economy.
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