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Michigan Senate race neck-and-neck as El-Sayed holds a narrow lead

A recent poll shows Democrat Abdul El-Sayed ahead of Republican Mike Rogers by a single point among likely Michigan voters, indicating a tight Senate contest.

A poll of Michigan voters taken September 24-28 reveals a razor‑thin margin in the U.S. Senate race, with Democrat Abdul El‑Sayed leading Republican Mike Rogers 50% to 49% among likely voters and 51% to 48% among registered voters. The study notes that 15% of respondents could still change their choice, including 18% of Rogers’ backers and 12% of El-Sayed’s. Voter anxiety is split, as 39% view Rogers as too close to Donald Trump while 36% see El-Sayed as too liberal.

Demographic trends show El-Sayed ahead among women, Black voters, college-educated and younger voters, whereas Rogers leads men, rural areas, White evangelicals and non-college-educated Whites. Party loyalty remains high, with 95% of Republicans backing Rogers and 93% of Democrats supporting El-Sayed.

Why it matters

The poll highlights a highly competitive Senate race that could determine party control of the U.S. Senate.

In this story

Michigan Senate raceAbdul El-SayedMike Rogerspolllikely votersDonald Trumpparty controldemographic splitregistered voterscampaign uncertainty
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