New poll shows Civic Coalition ahead but likely to lose parliamentary majority
A recent OGB poll projects the Civic Coalition as the leading party with 196 seats, while the governing coalition would fall short of a majority.
According to the latest OGB polling, the Civic Coalition is projected to win 196 parliamentary seats, positioning it as the top vote-getter. Law and Justice would come in second with 124 seats, while the Confederation led by Krzysztof Bosak and Sławomir Mentzen would receive 68 seats. The Confederation of the Polish Crown, headed by Grzegorz Braun, is expected to gain 41 seats, and Development Plus would add another 10.
Parties such as PSL, Poland 2050 and Razem would fail to cross the electoral threshold. Combined, the Civic Coalition and the Left would hold 145 seats, whereas right-wing parties would total 233, indicating the incumbent coalition would lose its governing majority.
