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New poll shows Democratic challenger narrowing gap in South Carolina governor's race

A recent Hart Research poll for Jermaine Johnson’s campaign indicates his lead over Republican Alan Wilson has tightened, with the race now within the margin of error.

A Hart Research Associates poll commissioned by Jermaine Johnson’s campaign was released Thursday, revealing a possible tightening of the South Carolina governor’s contest between Republican Attorney General Alan Wilson and Democratic state Rep. Jermaine Johnson. Conducted from Aug. 12-15 with 600 likely voters, the poll showed Wilson with a 38% favorable rating versus Johnson’s 36%, while many respondents did not recognize either name.

In a direct vote-choice question, 50% said they would support Wilson compared with 42% for Johnson, narrowing the earlier eight-point gap reported in a July Public Policy Polling survey. When participants read comprehensive biographies of both candidates, Wilson’s lead shrank to just two points, 48% to 46%, within the margin of error. Johnson’s biography highlighted his rise from poverty to a college basketball scholarship, a professional playing career, advanced degrees, and a nonprofit focused on job placement, whereas Wilson’s profile emphasized his decorated military service and tenure as the nation’s youngest state attorney general. The poll appears alongside an Impact Research poll that found the Senate race between Annie Andrews and Darline Graham Nordone deadlocked at 41% each, underscoring a competitive political environment in the state.

Why it matters

The narrowing gap could make the governor’s race in South Carolina more competitive than previously expected.

How this story developed

  1. Aug 17 Midterm outlook shifts as key Senate and governor contests turn competitive
  2. Aug 24 A runoff election has been scheduled for Tuesday.
  3. Aug 24 Early voting for the runoff recorded 63,712 ballots, slightly ahead of the 61,775 cast in the primary.
  4. Aug 24 Make America Great Again Inc. has committed almost $828,000 to support Darline Graham Nordone in the South Carolina Senate GOP primary runoff against Ralph Norman.
  5. Aug 25 Tuesday runoff election was held to select the GOP nominee.
  6. Aug 25 Voters cast ballots in the runoff on Tuesday.
  7. Aug 25 A Trafalgar Group poll shows the race essentially tied, with Graham at 47.9% and Norman at 47.8% and 4.4% undecided.
  8. Aug 25 University of Texas/Texas Politics Project poll shows Democrat James Talarico ahead of Republican Ken Paxton.
  9. Aug 25 Graham’s debate remark about limited national‑security knowledge sparked concerns about her qualifications.
  10. Aug 26 Darline Graham secured a full term in the South Carolina Republican Senate primary runoff, underscoring Donald Trump’s continuing influence in the state’s party politics.
  11. Aug 26 Mike Mazzie won the GOP runoff and became the party’s nominee for governor.
  12. Aug 26 Trump held a rally in Myrtle Beach and praised Graham’s late brother Lindsey Graham.
  13. Aug 27 Mazzei’s victory came after a campaign that spent over $14 million on independent ads and after a Trump‑hosted call that attracted about 38,000 listeners.
  14. Aug 27 Democratic nominee Annie Andrews released her first campaign advertisement.

In this story

South Carolina governor raceAlan WilsonJermaine Johnsonpollmargin of errorbiography testDemocratic challengerRepublican nominee
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