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Oil climbs for second day as Middle East supply worries outweigh export gains

Oil prices rose for a second session on Tuesday, driven by lingering concerns over supply disruptions from the US-Iran conflict despite higher export volumes from the Gulf.

For the second consecutive day, oil markets saw price increases, with Brent crude up 0.6% to $105.91 a barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate up 0.8% to $93.32. The rally reflects persistent worries about supply disruptions linked to the US-Iran conflict, which outweigh signs of recovering Gulf export volumes. While total crude shipments from the region rose to 12.8 million barrels per day, much of the growth depends on inefficient ship-to-ship transfers, a factor that sustains higher prices.

Analysts attribute the lack of a sustained breakout above $110 per barrel to the lingering hope of a diplomatic settlement. Talks between US and Iranian officials, mediated by third parties, are focusing on an amended version of Iran's recent seven-day proposal presented at the UN General Assembly. Meanwhile, the United States is weighing regulatory relief to broaden sales of red-dyed diesel, a move intended to ease fuel costs by allowing some buyers to bypass federal taxes.

Why it matters

Higher oil prices affect global energy costs and economic stability amid ongoing Middle East tensions.

How this story developed

  1. Sep 2 Diesel hits $5.68 per gallon, highest since 2022, as Trump urges price cuts
  2. Sep 18 The Trump administration finalized a partnership to develop 17 oil fields in Venezuela.
  3. Sep 19 Diesel prices reached $5.68 per gallon, the highest figure since 2022.
  4. Sep 22 Oil prices fell and AI data demand boosted semiconductor stocks, reversing earlier concerns about oil‑driven market pressure.
  5. Sep 22 Trump told reporters he wants to stop sending diesel abroad, citing the surge in diesel costs driven by conflicts in Iran and Ukraine. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the administration is reviewing whether a full or partial ban is feasible. Republican Senate hopefuls, including Ashley Hinson, have urged the government to adopt the ban to ease price pressures on Americans.
  6. Sep 23 Rural GOP lawmakers have publicly demanded action on diesel exports ahead of the November election.
  7. Sep 24 President Trump announced support for a diesel export ban.
  8. Sep 24 Gas storage levels are now reported at about 69% of capacity, below the usual seasonal target.
  9. Sep 25 Refinery output shifts and refinery strikes have created a measurable shortfall in bunker‑fuel supply for the third quarter.
  10. Sep 26 The European Union has asked the administration to keep U.S. diesel exports flowing amid the price surge.
  11. Sep 26 President Donald Trump announced new fuel-economy rules that scrap the electric-vehicle mandate introduced under Joe Biden.
  12. Sep 27 The yen rose about 0.8% to 157.65 per dollar after Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama highlighted possible coordinated intervention.
  13. Sep 27 The Saudi pipeline across the Arabian Peninsula was closed after an attack in Iraq, adding to the blockage of the Strait of Hormuz.
  14. Sep 28 The 2031 fuel‑economy target was lowered to roughly 34.9 mpg.

In this story

oil pricesMiddle East supplyUS-Iran conflictBrent crudeWest Texas Intermediateship-to-ship transfersStrait of Hormuzdiesel tax relief
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