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Pakistan trims FY26 GDP growth to 3.65% as industrial and services slow

Pakistan's government lowered its FY26 GDP growth estimate to 3.65% due to a modest slowdown in industry and services, missing its target.

During the 118th session of the National Accounts Committee, Pakistan's government announced a revised GDP growth rate of 3.65% for FY26, reflecting a mild slowdown in both industrial output and services activity. The adjustment means the country fell short of its previously announced growth target. Sectoral estimates were updated to 3.50% for agriculture, 3.34% for industry and 3.81% for services, compared with earlier higher projections.

The national accounts also incorporated revised import data from FY21 to FY25 and updated quarterly growth rates for FY25-26. Overall economic size increased to $450.4 billion, driven mainly by services, with per-capita income rising to $1,896, though it remains the region's lowest.

Why it matters

The revised growth rate signals slower economic momentum, affecting policy decisions and living standards in Pakistan.

In this story

GDP growthFY26industrial slowdownservices sectorper capita incomePakistan economy
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