Poll shows Republican Hinson ahead of Democrat Turek in Iowa Senate contest
A recent Suffolk University poll gives Republican Ashley Hinson a narrow lead over Democrat Josh Turek for the Iowa Senate seat, while the governor's race remains a statistical tie.
A Suffolk University poll of 500 likely voters in Iowa indicates that Republican Ashley Hinson holds 45% of the vote against Democrat Josh Turek's 41% in the race to replace Senator Joni Ernst, though the 4.4% margin of error means the contest is technically a tie. The same survey, taken Aug. 20-23, shows Democrat Rob Sand leading Republican Zach Lahn 48% to 44% for governor, also within the statistical tie range. Iowa has shifted toward the GOP since 2016, yet the Senate race remains unexpectedly close.
While Hinson retains a slight edge, a Democratic victory could help flip the Senate. The poll results were.
Why it matters
The tight Senate race could affect the balance of power in the U.S. Senate.
How this story developed
- Aug 14 Alaska Senate Contest Centers on Fish Policy, Corporate Influence and Indigenous Rights
- Aug 22 The Cook Political Report updated its ratings for the Texas and Iowa Senate contests.
- Aug 22 Peltola pulled ahead in the Alaska Senate primary, holding roughly 48% of the vote as results came in.
- Aug 22 David Axelrod publicly rebuked Ossoff’s reference to Natalie Harw as unnecessary.
- Aug 23 Alaska Supreme Court reinstated retired‑teacher Dan Sullivan’s candidacy, allowing him to appear on the November ballot.
- Aug 24 Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton and Democrat state Senator James Talarico are trading proposals to curb the rapid growth of data centers in Texas amid concerns about power and water usage.
- Aug 24 GOP lawmakers are openly criticizing President Trump's recent trade actions, including a stalled Canada tariff dispute and a proposal to import large quantities of tariff-free meat, as the midterm elections approach.
- Aug 24 A runoff election has been scheduled for Tuesday.
- Aug 24 Mike Collins’ poll numbers rose after the controversy.
- Aug 24 Early voting for the runoff recorded 63,712 ballots, slightly ahead of the 61,775 cast in the primary.
- Aug 25 Tuesday runoff election was held to select the GOP nominee.
- Aug 25 Republican lawmakers have publicly criticized Trump’s tariffs and the proposed tariff‑free meat imports.
- Aug 25 University of Texas/Texas Politics Project poll shows Democrat James Talarico ahead of Republican Ken Paxton.
- Aug 26 Paxton added a federal component to his data‑center policy, seeking to prohibit Chinese technology nationwide.
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