Premier League sees narrowest points gap between top and bottom in over two decades
Last season the Premier League’s point spread shrank dramatically, producing the most tightly contested table in 23 years.
Statistical analysis of the most recent campaign shows the Premier League’s competitive balance reaching a new high, with the gap between the top four and the bottom three narrowing to 26 points, the tightest margin in 23 years. Champions Arsenal finished only 65 points ahead of Wolves, a spread close to the historical average for a 38-match season. Clubs such as Aston Villa and Liverpool earned Champions League berths despite lower point totals, while Bournemouth and Sunderland broke long-standing barriers to reach European tournaments.
Meanwhile, teams in the lower half, including Everton and West Ham, recorded point tallies that would have been exceptional in previous eras, and the second-bottom side’s average points fell to 22 in recent seasons. The data suggest that either the traditionally stronger clubs are declining or the smaller clubs are improving, with savvy recruitment and financial resources playing a key role.
Why it matters
A tighter league means more unpredictable outcomes and broader opportunities for clubs across the table.
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