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Romanian President Nicușor Dan says a direct Russian strike on NATO is unlikely soon

President Nicușor Dan said that a direct Russian attack on a NATO member is not very probable within the next one to two years, but stresses the need for preparedness.

During a televised interview, President Nicușor Dan expressed that a direct Russian invasion of a NATO country is not highly probable in the next one to two years, though he warned that the alliance must stay ready for such a scenario. He referenced the pre-invasion period of the Ukraine war to show that early expectations underestimated Russian ambitions, and noted that European officials have since grasped the scale of the threat.

Dan praised the recent rise in defence spending and deeper cooperation among European nations, while also calling for a strategic balance with the United States. He reaffirmed that military deterrence remains a key factor in Russia's calculations. The remarks were made amid ongoing NATO discussions about strengthening responses to hybrid threats, including sabotage and cyber operations, that fall short of full-scale war.

Why it matters

The statement signals how NATO members view the near-term risk of a Russian conventional attack and underscores ongoing defence readiness.

In this story

Nicușor DanNATORussiadirect attackhybrid warfaredefence spendingmilitary deterrenceUkraine conflict
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