San Juan Unified faces $3.7 million loss as enrollment drops by 1,200 students

San Juan Unified School District, serving about 50,000 students in Sacramento County, reported an enrollment shortfall of nearly 1,200 pupils, far exceeding its forecasted loss of 317 for the 2026-27 school year. The 2% decline could reduce state aid by up to $3.7 million this year, with the multi-year funding model potentially expanding the gap to $10.4 million. District spokesperson Raj Rai highlighted the financial risk, while superintendent Melissa Bassanelli and CFO Joel Ryan began reviewing data to pinpoint reasons, hearing similar trends from nearby districts.

Board trustee Ben Avey warned that the district’s strong fiscal position could quickly erode without careful decisions. The district also faces higher special-education costs and active labor negotiations, compounding budget pressures. Statewide enrollment is projected to fall another 12% by 2035-36, underscoring broader demographic challenges.