Study ranks Australia and New Zealand as safest havens in global catastrophes
Researchers evaluating nuclear war, pandemics, super-volcanoes and solar storms find Australia and New Zealand offer the highest survival odds in a worldwide disaster.
The study titled “No Place to Hide? Regional Resilience and Vulnerability to Global Catastrophic Risk” assessed the capacity of world regions to survive a range of catastrophic events, including nuclear war, asteroid impacts, super-volcano eruptions, electromagnetic pulses, geomagnetic storms and global pandemics. Using criteria such as geographic isolation, food production capability, governance quality and decentralized infrastructure, the researchers concluded that Australia and New Zealand provide the greatest overall resilience.
While these countries fare best across most scenarios, the paper warns they could not survive completely cut off from global trade and cooperation. Additional nations highlighted for particular strengths are Switzerland for institutional quality, Argentina and Uruguay for agricultural output, and Norway for development level. The authors argue that preventing avoidable catastrophes is paramount, but for events that cannot be averted, investment in the identified resilience factors could save lives. They propose that these southern-hemisphere states could serve as hubs for global food reserves, seed banks and industrial capacity in post-disaster recovery.
Why it matters
Understanding which regions can best endure global catastrophes helps guide preparedness and international resilience planning.
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