Super El Nino could bring warmer temps and less snow to New York City

Experts warn that a rare and intense Super El Nino is forming, which could push seasonal temperatures in the Northeast above the norm while initially curbing snowfall. Early-season precipitation is projected to fall short of average, though some models suggest a shift toward wetter weather later in the winter. For New York City, the probability of receiving more than typical rainfall between December and February sits at about 50% to 60%, while the odds of experiencing higher than average temperatures are roughly 40% to 50%.

Carl Erickson, a senior meteorologist, notes that warmth may linger through September with only brief cool spells in October, and that any snow would depend on a storm aligning with sufficient cold air. The Super El Nino, which has about a 70% chance of materializing, could become dominant by October, altering typical weather patterns across the United States.