Surge of sovereignist parties reshapes European political landscape and policy debates
Recent polls show far-right parties gaining top positions in Germany, France and Italy, while new extremist groups emerge across Europe.
Survey data reveal a rapid rise of sovereignist forces across Europe. The AfD has overtaken the CDU/CSU as the leading party in Germany, prompting the chancellor to label the outcome a disaster. In France, Marine Le Pen is projected to dominate both rounds of the upcoming presidential election, outpacing rivals like Edouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal.
Italy’s Fratelli d’Italia holds a strong lead, while the newly founded Futuro Nazionale, led by General Roberto Vannacci, challenges the traditional right. Parallel trends surface in the United Kingdom, Spain and Belgium, where parties advocate expelling foreign welfare recipients and echoing populist rhetoric. These developments signal a broader shift toward nationalist agendas that could reshape EU policy and electoral strategies in the coming years.
How this story developed
- Sep 20 Chancellor Friedrich Merz admitted his CDU suffered a crushing defeat in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, where the AfD reached 37% while the CDU fell to 5.5%.
- Sep 20 AfD emerged as the front‑runner in Mecklenburg‑Vorpommern and Die Linke topped the Berlin vote.
- Sep 21 The CDU failed to clear the 5% threshold in Mecklenburg‑Vorpommern, losing all its seats in the state parliament.
- Sep 21 Elif Eralp, the daughter of Turkish left-wing refugees, was named Die Linke's lead candidate for the Berlin mayoral race, drawing parallels to New York mayor Bill de Blasio’s predecessor.
- Sep 21 Speaking on Tagesschau Extra, Krings said a division of the two top positions has not been ruled out and should be openly discussed. He recalled past CDU experiences where combining the roles proved problematic and stressed that the country's interests must come before personal ambitions. Krings added that the party must focus on overdue reforms rather than debating leadership changes, especially after recent electoral defeats in several states.
- Sep 21 The Greens announced they will seek a red‑green‑red coalition with the Left and SPD.
- Sep 21 AfD received about 44% of the vote in Saxony‑Anhalt, falling short of a majority by three seats.
- Sep 22 The CDU top council met on Monday to voice concerns about the party’s leadership.
- Sep 23 SPD and Greens require Die Linke to demonstrate anti‑antisemitism safeguards before coalition talks can proceed.
- Sep 24 Merz faces mounting pressure after the regional setbacks.
- Sep 24 The Israeli ambassador warned of an “immediate existential threat” to Berlin’s Jewish community over alleged antisemitism in the party.
- Sep 24 The Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance pledged support for the AfD’s speaker nominee, creating a parliamentary majority for the AfD in Saxony‑Anhalt.
- Sep 27 SPD and Greens issued a joint warning demanding Die Linke reject antisemitism and clan crime before coalition talks proceed.
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