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Swedish election faces security crisis as immigration fuels crime concerns, analyst warns

An analyst says rising crime and a large immigrant population are driving Swedes to demand stricter security policies ahead of the vote.

External security remains stable, but Sweden is confronting a deep internal crisis marked by rising crime and integration challenges, according to foreign-policy analyst Ștefan Popescu. The country’s foreign-born share has reached 28%, with 10% originating from the Middle East and Africa, and unemployment is disproportionately high among these groups. Crime levels are reported to be more than double the European average, leading 40% of citizens to feel unsafe.

This perception is fueling a demand for stricter immigration rules and a possible rightward shift in the upcoming election, a pattern also observed in Germany and France. Despite potential domestic political upheaval, Sweden’s foreign commitments, including its NATO role and support for Ukraine, are expected to stay unchanged.

Why it matters

Sweden's election could reshape its immigration and security policies, affecting millions of residents and EU debates.

In this story

Swedish electionimmigrationcrime ratesecurity crisisopen-door policyright-wing shiftdemographic change
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