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Thai central bank keeps 1% floor, hints at future rate hikes

The Bank of Thailand said the benchmark rate will stay at a 1% floor for now but expects policy to tighten as the economy recovers.

During the IMF-World Bank annual meetings in Bangkok, the Bank of Thailand's deputy governor said one outlet 1% benchmark rate reflects the country's below-potential growth and contained price pressures. He noted that the floor is historically low but will not be reduced further unless a severe shock hits the economy. Over time, the policy rate is expected to rise to roughly 1.5%-2% as inflation and the baht stabilize.

Updated inflation and growth forecasts, projected at about 2% and 2.3% respectively, will be released with the Oct. 28 rate decision. The bank also highlighted that recent floods have limited impact and that the baht remains resilient despite global energy price shocks.

Why it matters

Thai rate policy influences regional markets, borrowing costs and the value of the baht.

In this story

Thai central bank1% rate floorinflationbahteconomic recoveryoil importsfloodingrate normalization
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