Trump and Treasury chief argue growth cannot erase $40 trillion U.S. debt
President Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent claim the economy can outgrow the $40 trillion debt, a view dismissed by a Wharton professor as unrealistic.
The administration faces scrutiny as the national debt reaches $40 trillion, prompting Trump to assert that unprecedented economic growth will eliminate the burden and Bessent to describe the number as non-magical, suggesting growth as a remedy. Experts point out that the debt-to-GDP ratio, now at 122%, is the key indicator, and that reducing borrowing or stimulating growth are the two main levers. Wharton economist Kent Smetters contends that growth does not solve the debt issue because increased productivity also inflates Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid outlays.
Treasury officials have responded to rising 30-year Treasury yields by buying back billions of dollars of debt, while policymakers weigh additional measures like deficit-reduction targets and a possible budget commission. Voter sentiment ahead of the midterms shows only a small share see debt as a decisive issue, but the credibility of any plan remains crucial to market confidence.
Why it matters
The debate over using growth to manage $40 trillion debt affects fiscal policy, market stability and voter expectations.
How this story developed
- Aug 10 U.S. national debt surpasses $40 trillion for the first time
- Aug 19 Treasury data shows the debt crossed $40 trillion.
- Aug 20 Democrats and Republicans expressed outrage over the U.S. gross national debt reaching $40 trillion for the first time.
- Aug 20 30‑year Treasury yields rose to 5.3% and debt held by investors reached about $37.64 trillion.
- Aug 23 The Treasury announced an expanded buy‑back operation for government bonds.
- Aug 23 Treasury announced it will double the size of its long‑dated bond buybacks to at least $4 billion per operation starting in September.
- Aug 25 Treasury said no bonds have been repurchased yet under the expanded buyback program.
- Aug 25 The Treasury announced an expansion of long‑term bond repurchases.
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