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Trump backs Paxton at Denton rally as poll shows Talarico edging ahead

Donald Trump appeared at a Denton rally for Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, while a recent poll gave Democratic Senate candidate James Talarico a narrow lead.

President Donald Trump attended a rally at the Peterbilt Motors facility in Denton, lauding Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton as a loyal ally and attacking Democratic Senate hopeful James Talarico. A poll of 1,203 registered Texas voters, including 881 likely voters, placed Talarico at 51% and Paxton at 49%, a lead that falls within the survey’s 2.5-point margin of error. The same poll indicated that a majority of voters—51%—are extremely or very concerned about Paxton’s close ties to Trump, with the concern concentrated among Republicans who do not identify as MAGA.

Separate Rasmussen Reports and Texas Public Opinion Research polls also show Talarico with a slight advantage. Democrats view a win in Texas as essential to gaining Senate control, a feat not achieved by the party since 1988. The race is further complicated by Paxton’s prior impeachment and ongoing controversies, while Talarico promotes policies such as an AI dividend and marijuana legalization.

Why it matters

The Senate race could determine which party controls the U.S. Senate and shape national legislation.

How the sides frame it

LOW AGREEMENT

Left-leaning coverage emphasizes the surprise of a Democrat leading in Texas and critiques right-leaning coverage commentary, while centrist coverage highlights Trump’s rally support for Paxton and voter concerns about his ties to Trump.

LEFT

Frames the story as a surprising Democratic poll lead and downplays right-leaning coverage’ alarmist reaction

CENTER

Frames the story around Trump’s rally endorsement of Paxton and voter anxiety over his connection to Trump

The left emphasises

  • "If you look at that one outlet's poll, he’s ahead by seven points…"
  • "how is that possible?"
  • notes the poll’s tighter lead among likely voters (51-49) and the rarity of a Democrat winning statewide in Texas

In this story

Texas Senate raceTrump rallyKen PaxtonJames TalaricoMAGA RepublicansSenate controlimpeachment
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