Trump Faces Growing Electoral Backlash as Midterms Approach
The author argues that three voter groups will heavily punish Donald Trump and the GOP in the upcoming November midterms.
In a pre-Labor Day opinion piece, the writer predicts a severe defeat for Donald Trump and the Republican Party in the November midterms. He identifies three critical electorates: long-time anti-Trump voters who are motivated to vote against him, swing voters who have lost faith in his economic promises, and former MAGA backers now disenchanted by his handling of the economy, immigration and the Iran conflict. The author contends that the latter group’s low turnout will further weaken the GOP’s chances in key battlegrounds, mentioning races in Kansas, Nebraska, Arkansas and Florida.
He also highlights Trump’s reliance on a massive propaganda operation despite dwindling credibility. The column concludes that the political tide is turning sharply against Trump, with his popularity likely to decline further before Election Day.
Why it matters
The analysis warns of a potential shift in U.S. midterm outcomes that could reshape congressional power.
How this story developed
- Aug 15 Trump aides say president reluctant to campaign for down-ballot Republicans
- Sep 1 Eight House Democrats voted with Republicans on the anti‑socialism resolution.
- Sep 2 Senior advisors to President Trump are urging the administration to limit the Iran war until the November 3 elections, relying on economic pressure rather than expanded military action.
- Sep 2 The resolution was defeated in the House vote.
- Sep 2 Trump told reporters the helipad, intended for Marine One, is now operational after critics warned that landing on the lawn was unsafe. The announcement coincides with the restart of construction on the White House Ballroom, a project the president has championed despite legal challenges. The Supreme Court recently cleared the way for continued building, and Trump says private funds are covering the work. He also highlighted other capital-area renovations, including work near the Lincoln Memorial and the Reflecting Pool.
- Sep 2 The Cook Political Report moved Texas and Iowa into toss‑up status.
- Sep 2 Democratic leadership assigned the Committee on Caucus Rules to decide on consequences for the two lawmakers.
- Sep 2 A poll shows Talarico at 44.0% and Paxton at 43.4% among likely voters.
- Sep 3 Jeffries has not yet met individually with Golden and Gluesenkamp Perez.
- Sep 3 Trump advisers have begun actively lobbying to limit escalation of the Iran war before the midterm elections.
- Sep 3 Sand publicly opposed Harris’s potential 2028 presidential run.
- Sep 4 Judge Indira Talwani ordered the Justice Department to submit implementation details for the USPS mail‑ballot rule.
- Sep 4 The Supreme Court ruled that the lawsuit challenging the ballroom lacks standing, allowing construction to continue.
- Sep 4 The America PAC filing listed independent expenditures in multiple 2026 races.
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