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Trump's low approval numbers threaten GOP prospects in upcoming midterms

A new analysis warns that Donald Trump's poor approval ratings and waning support among minority voters are creating a serious risk for Republican chances in the November midterm elections.

According to a recent analysis, Donald Trump's dismal approval figures are translating into electoral danger for the Republican Party as the midterm campaign intensifies. Surveys show his overall rating at 34 percent, with only 21 percent approving his handling of fuel costs and just one quarter backing his approach to inflation. Support among Hispanic voters has fallen from 46 percent in 2024 to a projected 26 percent for the midterms, and Black voter backing has dropped to 8 percent.

Although Republicans retain a fundraising edge, the report suggests that money alone cannot offset the growing voter hostility toward Trump and his agenda. The analysis also notes that the GOP's narrow margins in the Senate (53-47) and House (219-214) leave little room for error. These trends point to a potentially disastrous outcome for the party in the November 3 election.

Why it matters

Trump's declining popularity could reshape the balance of power in Congress after the midterms.

In this story

Donald TrumpRepublican Partymidterm electionsapproval ratingminority votersfundraisingCongressPew Research Center
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