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UNDP chief warns surge in energy costs could plunge 130 million into poverty

At the IMF-World Bank meetings in Bangkok, UNDP head Alexander de Croo said rising fuel prices and tighter financing are pushing millions in developing nations toward poverty.

Speaking on the sidelines of the IMF-World Bank Annual Meetings in Bangkok, Alexander de Croo of the UNDP warned that the recent spike in global fuel prices, triggered by the United States' war on Iran and Tehran's retaliatory cuts, is straining developing economies already weakened by the pandemic and other conflicts. He noted that while many countries have tried to cushion citizens with blanket subsidies, fiscal deficits and debt burdens leave little room for continued support.

The UNDP's latest analysis estimates that roughly 130 million individuals could be pushed into poverty this year if price hikes are not mitigated. De Croo also pointed to record-high interest payments—about 9.5 % of government revenue—limiting policy flexibility, and warned that an unprecedented El Niño could exacerbate climate-related damages by early 2027. He called for richer nations and multilateral institutions to provide financing and for private capital to help offset climate costs.

Why it matters

The warning highlights how energy price shocks and debt burdens could drive millions into poverty, stressing the need for global financial support.

How this story developed

  1. Oct 7 IMF chief warns of soaring debt and calls for swift fiscal and monetary action
  2. Oct 12 The Bangkok meetings now emphasize debt sustainability as the war‑driven energy shock continues.
  3. Oct 13 The IMF projects global GDP to exceed 3% in 2026, buoyed by AI spending, but warns that ongoing Middle East conflict and rising debt could undermine the outlook.
  4. Oct 13 Silvana Tenreyro said the world’s economic resilience is being tested and urged that the UK “stay the course” and repair its finances.
  5. Oct 13 IMF raised its 2026 global growth projection to 3.1% and cut growth forecasts for the Gulf, Latin America and Turkey.

In this story

energy pricespoverty riskdeveloping countriesinterest paymentsEl Niñosubsidiesglobal debtclimate financing
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