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Why diesel prices have surged to record levels across Europe

Diesel has become the most expensive fuel in Europe, with prices in Finland reaching €2.8 per litre, driven by taxes, regulation and reduced refining capacity.

Across Europe diesel prices have climbed to unprecedented levels, with Finland's Salo reporting a weekend price of €2.8 per litre, the highest in the continent. Spanish economist Daniel Lacalle explains that the surge is not solely a result of the Iran conflict but stems from an "interventionist energy policy" that includes heavy fuel taxes, escalating carbon costs, and the shutdown of refining plants. He points out that EU sanctions on Russian oil have forced buyers to source diesel from more distant suppliers, raising freight costs and exposure to shipping risks.

Lacalle also highlights a long-term decline in European refining capacity, which fell from about 15.3 million barrels per day in 2020 to roughly 14.7 million barrels per day, reducing market resilience. In contrast, the United States has maintained its refining output, avoiding a similar price spike. The analyst warns that the EU's simultaneous restriction of imports and reduction of domestic capacity creates a precarious situation for fuel security.

Why it matters

Rising diesel costs affect transport, logistics and household budgets throughout Europe.

In this story

diesel pricefuel taxesrefinery closuresEU sanctionsenergy policysupply shocklogistics costs
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