Why the former East is becoming Germany's far-right stronghold
The Alternative for Germany (AfD) is poised for a sweeping victory in the east and may form its first state government, a development explained by former GDR legacies and lingering economic gaps, said lawmaker Elisabeth Kaiser.
The anti-immigration Alternative for Germany (AfD) is expected to dominate the upcoming eastern state elections and could become the first far-right party to govern at the state level since World War II. Elisabeth Kaiser, the government commissioner for eastern Germany and a Thuringian lawmaker, traced this rise to the abrupt shutdown of state-run firms after the Berlin Wall fell, which created long-lasting unemployment and a collective feeling of loss.
Decades later, wages, savings and political representation remain lower in the east, fostering a perception of disadvantage despite recent infrastructure investments. The AfD’s anti-migration stance resonates even though the region hosts fewer foreign-born residents, recalling the “baseball bat years” of 1990s xenophobic violence. Kaiser also warned that nostalgic symbols like the Simson scooter and a lingering anti-American sentiment, combined with a desire for renewed dialogue with Russia, are being exploited by populists to deepen the party’s support.
Why it matters
Understanding the east’s shift toward the AfD reveals how historic grievances shape Germany’s future political landscape.
How this story developed
- Aug 23 Merz warns AfD win in Saxony-Anhalt could scare off foreign investors
- Aug 31 A fact‑checking report found Merz’s asylum and debt figures were inaccurate.
- Aug 31 Chancellor warned that an AfD win could deter foreign investors.
- Sep 1 Ulrich Siegmund, a former perfume seller who left the CDU, has been identified as the AfD’s lead candidate in Saxony‑Anhalt.
- Sep 2 SPD polling in Saxony‑Anhalt falls to about 7‑8%.
- Sep 3 The state parliament passed emergency legislation that raises the thresholds for selecting the minister‑president and appointing judges, limiting the AfD’s ability to govern even if it wins the plurality.
- Sep 4 Election held on Sunday, with results set to decide if the AfD can dominate the Landtag and trigger legal challenges.
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